Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68deef7764a40e67d9dee1aa79f58f742af9fe781641a189e78a93178042df66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 26c | 7,935$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,685$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,557$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.77 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Yes | 68c | 857.35$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 29c | 517.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 376.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…9913backed Yes | 25c | 299.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 24c | 137.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 112.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 93.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 81.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 41c | 76.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 73.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 14c | 72.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 67.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 72c | 51.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 24c | 42.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked No | 38c | 30.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 30.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 45c | 24.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 14.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.