Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cccbb2f02ff5f0066cad8f3eabd4e3f386c9bdc34d8f56d0c1f63389ec55cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 3,804$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,252$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.04 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,198$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 20c | 1,110$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.23 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,094$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 779.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.74 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 386.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 365.89$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 240.56$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 220.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 13c | 186.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 153.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 29c | 117$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 75c | 105.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 75c | 95.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 88.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 24c | 79.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 77.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 76.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…3837backed Yes | 28c | 70.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 27c | 57.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 56c | 50.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 48.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 79c | 40.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 27c | 40.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 46c | 30.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 29.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.