TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Thiago Monteiro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vallejoof Vallejo, Monteiro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x046c…2a9cbacked Monteiro39c20,566$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.9435247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Monteiro29c18,433$5,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,343.482,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Vallejo63c16,416$10,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,106.661,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vallejo64c4,612$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.096,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Vallejo64c4,565$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.8176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Vallejo61c4,416$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.843,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vallejo64c3,196$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.972,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Vallejo36c2,174$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.231647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Vallejo59c2,174$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.4222553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Vallejo46c1,061$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Vallejo44c911.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.471,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vallejo60c806$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.771,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Vallejo49c760.78$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.354,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Monteiro35c708.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Monteiro26c697.97$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.474,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Monteiro35c645.71$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22616665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Vallejo58c537.6$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2812952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Monteiro46c500.44$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.122,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Monteiro38c470.07$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Monteiro56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25263247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Monteiro45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Vallejo54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Vallejo55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6420748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Vallejo61c362.79$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.831,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vallejo57c296.31$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Vallejo58c293$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.067248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Vallejo70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7152460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Monteiro42c274.21$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.942,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Monteiro37c260$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monteiro34c253.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.056,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Vallejo61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.512450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Monteiro41c246.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Vallejo61c235.37$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.89949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Vallejo50c225.16$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5820552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Monteiro42c221.4$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.158645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Vallejo60c202$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.824060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Vallejo49c200.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.86,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Vallejo59c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.568951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Monteiro53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025452%132 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vallejo52c185$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.84,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Monteiro39c179.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.191,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Monteiro36c168.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Vallejo52c164.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9923554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Vallejo62c162$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.561,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Monteiro29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Vallejo42c119$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0227147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Vallejo48c119$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Vallejo62c119$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2299056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Vallejo61c117.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.392,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Vallejo63c115.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0438652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vallejo56c114.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Vallejo62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.777967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monteiro36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Vallejo41c89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6892548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Monteiro34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdad6…ff8ebacked Vallejo53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ab…b036backed Vallejo54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Monteiro57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Monteiro51c78.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3947946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Vallejo48c77.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.834,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Vallejo52c70.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.912,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Vallejo61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.38853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Vallejo48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3316552.1%86 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Vallejo61c61.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8753058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Vallejo61c61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.797,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Monteiro33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+95.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Vallejo56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2427546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Vallejo61c52.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Vallejo80c51.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4142358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Monteiro39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…d019backed Vallejo58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218850%44 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4258…b33fbacked Vallejo63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Vallejo61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1832649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vallejo52c45.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.044,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Vallejo61c45.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.736,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Vallejo55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.919762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Monteiro52c41.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Vallejo61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9817354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Vallejo51c39.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6143058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed Vallejo56c37.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Monteiro54c34.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.658847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Vallejo44c33.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7517959.8%107 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Monteiro34c33.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4414828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Vallejo39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a95…5f4ebacked Vallejo57c26.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.262941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Vallejo64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.233364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Vallejo60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Vallejo61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e2…59a4backed Vallejo64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Vallejo71c15.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4159954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.