Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeacde1b026ca15571ae9d8140e72acdbda72621ee8026212c006984c19bd7bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 6,789$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 55c | 2,856$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.88 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 2,069$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 34c | 857.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…610ebacked Yes | 45c | 769.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 654.09$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 408.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 54c | 352.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 41c | 258.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 238.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 59c | 210$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 186.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed No | 66c | 183.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 55c | 169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 65c | 138.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 109.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 109.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 26c | 102.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 40c | 95.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 84.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 81.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 34c | 78.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 26c | 78.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 32c | 47.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 30c | 43.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 35.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 42c | 34.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 55c | 26.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Moreirense FC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.