Premier League · resolved market
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e2691efb3b3501b599d69ad2f98e791c35559cadc071a739c6c9959186c1fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 14c | 5,101$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.62 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 5,101$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.11 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,294$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 1,246$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 804$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 5c | 664.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 2c | 560.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…9e90backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 16c | 362.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 283.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 13c | 189.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…1119backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…5035backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 13c | 121.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 14c | 81.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 14c | 72.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.