Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42d9ac918cd081c65ec982f6a3ead0763e1f1334de2d8d6127fee9d7418c3c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 3c | 42,164$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.09 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 5c | 38,456$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 3c | 38,306$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.47 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 3c | 19,608$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.06 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 4c | 11,269$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.02 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 3c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 2c | 8,010$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.22 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 3c | 6,743$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…13a0backed No | 4c | 6,400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 6,087$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 3c | 4,638$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 5c | 4,368$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…66c7backed No | 0c | 4,256$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…c159backed No | 4c | 3,500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 7c | 3,444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed No | 3c | 3,383$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked No | 4c | 3,196$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,987$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 5c | 2,301$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked No | 4c | 2,224$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 1c | 1,585$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…d0d1backed No | 1c | 1,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…469cbacked No | 3c | 1,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…673fbacked No | 4c | 1,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 5c | 1,304$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 4c | 1,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked No | 3c | 999.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 3c | 998.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…aecdbacked No | 4c | 850$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 3c | 835.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 8c | 730.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…4e14backed No | 3c | 700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 3c | 686.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c25…21f1backed No | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 3c | 578.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…40fcbacked No | 3c | 541.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…d349backed No | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 433.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe003…29bebacked No | 4c | 266.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.