Fifa International · resolved market
Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98a69eee30afe8da11938da20f13ea809d908f6f8c8d4b741372cd7d8b86b3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab26…99b0backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 4c | 55,063$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 1c | 34,253$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.57 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 1c | 24,569$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.32 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 1c | 10,081$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…5e06backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 1c | 6,800$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…eaf0backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 3c | 3,573$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Yes | 1c | 3,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 1c | 3,506$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 1c | 3,280$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,058$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,582$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,518$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…d91cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,195$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…0df6backed Yes | 1c | 1,858$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 3c | 1,603$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,450$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 2c | 1,177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…ae73backed Yes | 4c | 1,114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,077$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…e287backed Yes | 1c | 1,074$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…bb98backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 1c | 999.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…e7c0backed Yes | 1c | 923.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…aad7backed Yes | 2c | 779.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 1c | 675.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?No won
- Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.