Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446234051f6e2bdabf728618bb5ca27766e7fa3ce29a4e6aac3fe7e88b1861f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trevisanof Trevisan, Sanchez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sanchez | 9c | 6,000$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Trevisan | 77c | 1,667$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.7 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sanchez | 23c | 1,544$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Sanchez | 22c | 1,412$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Sanchez | 21c | 1,366$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trevisan | 79c | 1,314$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Sanchez | 36c | 856$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sanchez | 38c | 848.39$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sanchez | 40c | 800$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.31 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trevisan | 75c | 749.85$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Trevisan | 65c | 721.76$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Trevisan | 58c | 690.83$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Sanchez | 37c | 604.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Sanchez | 39c | 446.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Sanchez | 37c | 404.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sanchez | 40c | 388$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Trevisan | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Trevisan | 65c | 306.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Trevisan | 62c | 297$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Sanchez | 36c | 278.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Trevisan | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trevisan | 60c | 246.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sanchez | 35c | 224$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Sanchez | 42c | 222.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Trevisan | 59c | 221.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sanchez | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sanchez | 26c | 155.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trevisan | 60c | 143.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sanchez | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sanchez | 38c | 111.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Sanchez | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trevisan | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Sanchez | 34c | 91.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sanchez | 39c | 86.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Trevisan | 62c | 80.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sanchez | 38c | 74.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sanchez | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Sanchez | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Trevisan | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Trevisan | 75c | 69.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Trevisan | 62c | 65.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sanchez | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Sanchez | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Sanchez | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Trevisan | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Sanchez | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed Sanchez | 37c | 44.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Sanchez | 40c | 43.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sanchez | 42c | 41.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Sanchez | 39c | 38.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…545bbacked Sanchez | 35c | 37.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sanchez | 34c | 33.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Trevisan | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sanchez | 38c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Sanchez | 38c | 31.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Sanchez | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Trevisan | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Sanchez | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Trevisan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Trevisan | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Trevisan | 63c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.