Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868e7a4596d12a6543c98f381ae4121521951787a251b6a51f6cca54171e2def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 1,769$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.43 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 1,538$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 1,450$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 1,290$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,209$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…6783backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 38c | 802.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed No | 55c | 762.41$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 58c | 756.16$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 64c | 670.33$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 393.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 65c | 382.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 307.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 13c | 220.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 204.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 149.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 13c | 144.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 142.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 10c | 97.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 86.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 40c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 19c | 57.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 56.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 62c | 48.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 43c | 37.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 69c | 34.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked No | 65c | 29.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-09?this page
- Will FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.