Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e4daf3cedc8f238c247140ec22c9ccb2d35808718ec62e9c1b30b197842be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 7,077$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 4,877$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.69 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,600$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…382cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 926.57$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 23c | 765.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 26c | 738.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 635.92$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 545.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 34c | 420.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 171.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 72c | 148.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 136$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 39c | 116.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 68.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 74c | 43.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 28.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-09?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.