Movies · resolved market
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe181e2949a2051e9fc8d7bc2a9753c5294d1833c8466d08bf5eedf48ef084861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 56c | 1,022$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked Yes | 53c | 863.7$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 66c | 743$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 48c | 643$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 34c | 597$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 52c | 568$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 44c | 499$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 34c | 440$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed No | 69c | 377$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 31c | 377$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 66c | 373$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 50c | 365.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 66c | 363$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 34c | 363$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 67c | 359$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 33c | 359$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked No | 67c | 330$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…1ea6backed Yes | 34c | 303$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 35c | 258$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed No | 65c | 258$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 48c | 221$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 221$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 190.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 43c | 159.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…ae56backed Yes | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…9a3dbacked Yes | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…5d7fbacked Yes | 46c | 143$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bde…21f3backed Yes | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…c86dbacked Yes | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 54c | 140.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b60bbacked Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…6a41backed Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…0d8cbacked Yes | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…8f67backed Yes | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…1fedbacked Yes | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…44a5backed Yes | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…1dbcbacked Yes | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…3c01backed Yes | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…db58backed Yes | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…48b6backed Yes | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9130…6caebacked Yes | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f92…39d0backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…63e2backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…e84cbacked Yes | 46c | 122$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…7f33backed No | 54c | 121$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…7e23backed No | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…eab6backed No | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…7d78backed No | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…f5a1backed No | 54c | 117$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 43c | 116.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…94f9backed No | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…58b8backed No | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…01f2backed No | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 45c | 111.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…fc7ebacked No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…242ebacked No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 63c | 110.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…a9e2backed No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…612fbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…d2a6backed No | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 51c | 108.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…8dacbacked Yes | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…7f38backed No | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…0f4cbacked No | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…6522backed No | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 47c | 106.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…bdd0backed No | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…cfd4backed No | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2439backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0559…5600backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…7eccbacked No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…5779backed No | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…126fbacked No | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…9f61backed No | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa0…bc81backed No | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 49c | 90.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 39c | 87.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…92a3backed Yes | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 51c | 84.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…3b00backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 52c | 49.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…e64ebacked Yes | 50c | 37.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…3dd4backed Yes | 42c | 35.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 51c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 59c | 23.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…4b75backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "Blue Moon" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes won
- Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Weapons" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.