South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a9133007b3c9be56f8dff707fce4f5715dcd756b7e6f513d446332eae02f0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 49c | 2,629$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,139$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.91 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 974.5$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 849.49$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 829.35$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 722.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.1 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 576.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 57c | 350.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes | 43c | 323.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 46c | 282.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 47c | 212.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 45c | 144.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 133.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Yes | 45c | 111.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 50c | 92.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…2f01backed Yes | 43c | 80.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 72.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…ccdabacked Yes | 46c | 70.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 43c | 69.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 43c | 68.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 45c | 67.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 46c | 64.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…e2a1backed No | 22c | 60.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…36b2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed Yes | 39c | 45.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 62c | 42.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8b93backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Yes | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…b89abacked Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 46c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 53c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…3f53backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 24.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed No | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…e0f1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked No | 63c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Yes | 77c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…0f0ebacked Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-02-18?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-18?No won
- Will CA Nacional Potosí vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.