Lol · resolved market
Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50f97ab48a2b7c4aefbab711a4e74b1b93b9ed6f4e1626248beef2a6c59fc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,058$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,854$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…ef9cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,734$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…32ccbacked Yes | 15c | 1,388$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 6c | 715.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 4c | 715.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…18b4backed Yes | 17c | 589.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 8c | 481.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 423.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 7c | 415$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…a48dbacked Yes | 8c | 410.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…8809backed Yes | 10c | 350.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…c946backed Yes | 15c | 329.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Yes | 6c | 325.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 10c | 287.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 283.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…29ecbacked Yes | 8c | 243.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…467cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…31f4backed Yes | 13c | 175.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…00abbacked Yes | 13c | 158.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…56adbacked Yes | 8c | 148.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5b…9682backed Yes | 12c | 106.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…70c1backed Yes | 13c | 100.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…f0b0backed Yes | 14c | 85.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?this page
- Will DN SOOPers win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will DRX win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will Dplus Kia win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?Yes won
- Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.