Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503cbcc02efc37291d0d386046137ceb3aef18cdb8a30a2b4114808ccf187e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 525,997$268,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268,185.98 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 49c | 286,346$140,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,036.32 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 12,222$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.22 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 10,997$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,483.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 4,577$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.32 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 2,632$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 50c | 2,035$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,917$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 1,755$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.23 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +8.2wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Under | 55c | 1,732$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.71 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 3c | 701.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 50c | 268.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 50c | 137.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 92.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 52c | 58.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Under | 51c | 58.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 51c | 52.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 52c | 48.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 52c | 42.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 49c | 41.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…58debacked Under | 50c | 32.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 50c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 147.5this page
- Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin SkyhawksUT Martin Skyhawks won
- Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.