CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5707d821562180731359b37fb08ea248114a4590d4c136ea101f99c943fc30be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed BetBoom Team | 1c | 16,800$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HOTU | 49c | 4,361$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.79 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 3,846$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.13 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU | 65c | 3,217$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.41 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 1,691$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed BetBoom Team | 15c | 1,580$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team | 24c | 1,237$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BetBoom Team | 49c | 930.98$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.79 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HOTU | 54c | 533.41$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.57 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed BetBoom Team | 14c | 382.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed BetBoom Team | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 12c | 287.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked HOTU | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed HOTU | 63c | 218.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked BetBoom Team | 18c | 148.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed BetBoom Team | 12c | 132.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked BetBoom Team | 33c | 92.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 86.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BetBoom Team | 27c | 85.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed BetBoom Team | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 55.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked HOTU | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HOTU | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 44.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 42.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 39.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed HOTU | 70c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed HOTU | 52c | 29.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked HOTU | 71c | 29.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…963bbacked HOTU | 76c | 28.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed HOTU | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…9812backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked HOTU | 67c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.