Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9768e4ac5b671fe5ba17e5a7025fbd7976da9be6da33596009f6a7ed8c1e2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $785,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $804,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 623,978$315,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315,582.66 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,000 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 49c | 198,734$97,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,354.31 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 135,583$66,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,791.46 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 120,009$58,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,204.56 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 51c | 72,000$36,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,720 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 49c | 24,400$11,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 14,526$7,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,385.52 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.5 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 3,349$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.54 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,654$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 51c | 2,154$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.29 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 50c | 1,057$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 51c | 989.35$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.78 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 823.53$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 481$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 50c | 455.36$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 51c | 394.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Over | 51c | 383.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 50c | 322.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Over | 51c | 303.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 284.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 50c | 265$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 50c | 261.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Under | 50c | 209.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 50c | 208.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 51c | 204.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 50c | 179.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 50c | 153.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Over | 51c | 144.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 131.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 51c | 131.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 52c | 126.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 120.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 50c | 114.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Over | 51c | 112.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 50c | 111.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 50c | 106.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 94.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Under | 50c | 71.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Over | 51c | 65.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Over | 51c | 63.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Over | 51c | 55.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 50c | 50.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 50.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 36.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 51c | 34.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 49c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…4851backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…58debacked Under | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 51c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…6e59backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…e040backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-10.5)Tulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic Owls won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.