Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb0642385fc2584cea4525fa4ad3fb5c56d0894caf592ce20d191f3c0e5751b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulane Green Waveof Florida Atlantic Owls, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 192.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 137.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 49c | 94.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 56.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 36.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 48c | 31.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 50c | 27.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-10.5)this page
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic Owls won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 155.5Under won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.