Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55c42dbcfd3ec5a46d8ce5b51b39b9020723529ddf59e27e2e0a4662d6e9c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $827,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $828,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 658,080$335,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322,459.35 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 49c | 500,000$245,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 151,067$74,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,022.83 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 51c | 76,000$38,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,240 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,750 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 50c | 4,855$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 3,337$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.66 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 2,993$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 496.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Under | 51c | 495$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 8c | 456.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.45 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 47c | 446.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Under | 51c | 441.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 51c | 347.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 51c | 338.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 297.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 271.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 11c | 270.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 51c | 251.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 237.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 51c | 224.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 212.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 49c | 209$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 50c | 208.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Over | 51c | 202.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 38c | 197.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 51c | 147.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 14c | 85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 51c | 72.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Under | 52c | 59.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 55.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…e040backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 52c | 45.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 49c | 41.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Over | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…10f5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 51c | 34.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 50c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Under | 50c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 52c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…c19dbacked Under | 73c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Under | 79c | 15.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5this page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Siena SaintsSiena Saints won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.