Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe589876c5b1d1fd3fbefaf2cb62584d88cf376bfe45d2dc6a07e13c9bb45ad5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Massachusetts Minutemen, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 13,888$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Buffalo Bulls | 55c | 7,110$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 4,207$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 3,027$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.49 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 2,500$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 2,482$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.84 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 2,013$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.74 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buffalo Bulls | 42c | 1,833$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Buffalo Bulls | 54c | 1,632$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.93 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 66c | 1,130$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.27 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Buffalo Bulls | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Buffalo Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 38c | 959.87$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.86 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 792.6$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 53c | 761.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 78c | 710.75$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Buffalo Bulls | 29c | 621.57$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 25c | 549$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.75 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 450$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 33c | 424.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 316$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 66c | 279.87$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 204$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Buffalo Bulls | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 197.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 169.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 165.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 162.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Buffalo Bulls | 49c | 149.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 11c | 145.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Buffalo Bulls | 39c | 143.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Buffalo Bulls | 56c | 135.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Buffalo Bulls | 18c | 126.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 121.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 121.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 61c | 116.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 105.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 27c | 77.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Buffalo Bulls | 19c | 74.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 71.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 29c | 68.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 50.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 49c | 50.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 45.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Buffalo Bulls | 27c | 43.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…dff4backed Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…18b0backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 56c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 25.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4c0dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 56c | 19.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Buffalo Bulls | 56c | 18.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 79c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bullsthis page
- Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-2.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.