Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b76cfd4bc4960c077e465bae4404eebd6ac1be3ce5a71377d9786bdb54ac74a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albany Great Danesof Vermont Catamounts, Albany Great Danes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $671,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $671,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 592,506$313,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313,026.96 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 491,154$230,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,311.55 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 152,430$72,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,788.12 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 70,000$37,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,041.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.83 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Vermont Catamounts | 20c | 2,639$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Albany Great Danes | 80c | 2,512$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.01 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 1,065$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 893.37$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Albany Great Danes | 52c | 487.05$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Vermont Catamounts | 51c | 477.36$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Albany Great Danes | 49c | 430.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Albany Great Danes | 52c | 403.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Albany Great Danes | 51c | 399.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Vermont Catamounts | 52c | 343$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 284.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Albany Great Danes | 51c | 250.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Vermont Catamounts | 52c | 202.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Albany Great Danes | 25c | 188$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Albany Great Danes | 51c | 142.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 127.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Albany Great Danes | 50c | 126.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Albany Great Danes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Albany Great Danes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 52c | 83.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Albany Great Danes | 51c | 67.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Albany Great Danes | 56c | 36.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Vermont Catamounts | 52c | 33.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Vermont Catamounts | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 30.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Vermont Catamounts | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-4.5)Albany Great Danes won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great DanesAlbany Great Danes won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 141.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 143.5Under won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.