Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb410713b70eddb149bd1a12b55ba43c2b3a8b12df8b45dd7018cb06704b0b2e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 20,497$10,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,841.63 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 15,000$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 3,115$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Over | 46c | 902.17$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 887.04$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 561$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 185.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 185.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 177$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 41c | 108.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 59c | 88.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 54c | 46.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 27.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 53c | 25.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 46c | 21.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 141.5this page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-4.5)Albany Great Danes won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)Albany Great Danes won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great DanesAlbany Great Danes won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 143.5Under won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.