Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd9043abbdc010761e25ea1d745c2b4735ea635ec20bb9bffb02cddf7928ec34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 45c | 575,830$258,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258,936.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 55c | 244,522$134,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,034.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 55c | 150,000$82,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 56c | 51,086$28,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,693.68 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 55c | 23,500$12,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,575 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 21,016$11,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,370.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 55c | 9,966$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.78 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under | 44c | 9,025$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 8,989$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 7,004$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.75 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…6677backed Under | 45c | 6,776$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 56c | 5,958$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.69 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 3,248$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 1,406$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 1,400$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.32 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,017$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.34 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 896.03$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.29 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 45c | 896$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 2c | 705.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 57c | 578.91$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 500.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 52c | 449.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 56c | 286.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 194.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 55c | 178.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 56c | 177.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 57c | 112.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 54c | 87.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 55c | 86.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.