Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cb2c31d12f97680bca48393e151e153ef538f4769259b116169ea7cdc417eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 57c | 301,894$171,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,290.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 57c | 162,000$91,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,831.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 44c | 151,307$65,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,334.16 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 43c | 135,529$58,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,251.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 41,917$20,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,661.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 40,976$17,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,349.62 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 30,000$13,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,950 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 43c | 19,999$8,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 12,263$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.7 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 49c | 10,045$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 9,580$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.31 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 56c | 7,506$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 44c | 6,336$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.36 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 4,330$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.68 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…b975backed Under | 50c | 4,028$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 3,507$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.56 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 3,343$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under | 47c | 3,095$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 45c | 2,490$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 55c | 2,410$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 47c | 1,982$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.3 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 1,845$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.88 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 74c | 1,318$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 999.58$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 51c | 950$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 32c | 860.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 49c | 844.66$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…6cadbacked Under | 51c | 694.12$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 45c | 600$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 49c | 575.51$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 55c | 538.75$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 70c | 532.09$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 45c | 510$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 44c | 510$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 502.4$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 51c | 482.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 51c | 476.33$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 44c | 430.73$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 45c | 427.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 43c | 420$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 43c | 420$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 43c | 420$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 400.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 41c | 399.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 62c | 392.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 46c | 371.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 314.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 49c | 284.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 253.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 52c | 246$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 54c | 245.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 50c | 240.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Over | 43c | 233.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 226.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 49c | 222.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Over | 45c | 220.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 74c | 218.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Over | 45c | 214.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 47c | 213.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Over | 48c | 209.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.