CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21cd5a06df55da5461cf0a0faf32d0644aa5f49d66ddd3246f7e0d0f4b4f8c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof kONO.ECF, AaB esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AaB esport | 70c | 2,475$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked kONO.ECF | 32c | 2,309$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.22 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked kONO.ECF | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed kONO.ECF | 16c | 249.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed AaB esport | 69c | 206.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked AaB esport | 71c | 204.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked kONO.ECF | 48c | 204.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed kONO.ECF | 8c | 199.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed kONO.ECF | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed kONO.ECF | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked kONO.ECF | 36c | 85.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed kONO.ECF | 36c | 82.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed kONO.ECF | 30c | 59.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed AaB esport | 52c | 52.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed kONO.ECF | 39c | 51.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed AaB esport | 62c | 44.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…9260backed kONO.ECF | 45c | 42.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked AaB esport | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed AaB esport | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed AaB esport | 71c | 34.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…fe46backed kONO.ECF | 31c | 34.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…eeefbacked AaB esport | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked AaB esport | 55c | 31.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked kONO.ECF | 58c | 28.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed AaB esport | 72c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…7ab6backed AaB esport | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed AaB esport | 66c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed AaB esport | 73c | 17.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs AaB esport - Map 2 WinnerkONO.ECF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.