TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No55c21,944$12,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,082.353,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,799.9911445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c14,707$8,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6771241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c7,983$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.31,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes46c5,000$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.18637.2%32 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes23c4,350$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.451752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c3,295$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.7655058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes41c3,007$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.043650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2205100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No62c1,604$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No29c1,592$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0513332.3%43 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes41c1,346$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.1214846.6%69 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes40c1,241$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.4510057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes39c1,086$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1351136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes47c1,079$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-47%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c1,038$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.352,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes41c1,000$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5953221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes29c1,000$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61015847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60015024%36 W · 114 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c987.26$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2775142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes40c885.07$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.814756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No63c764.39$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8115064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c595.76$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7556951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No76c589.56$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.657648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.322544%11 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes37c522.72$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3123745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No58c415$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4510942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No61c414.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c367.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6834342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No55c292.81$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1919458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No60c277.39$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes23c247.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.833339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes41c245.27$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.712437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes69c228.97$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.981080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes40c211$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.610235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Yes40c190$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c185.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6778248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8219943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No6c174$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.446010%6 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes41c137$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8314254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No37c133.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0616542.4%70 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No73c123.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905952.5%31 W · 28 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No54c100.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0915453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-44.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No57c98.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8710150.5%51 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608169.1%56 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.724258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes41c86.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.84261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed No60c80.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes22c75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.521041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe0…8f3cbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes39c74.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.345839.7%23 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No16c73.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes40c72.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.348250%41 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes39c66.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.236053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.223458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed No62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.118840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes39c58.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.762516%4 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3688…5bd7backed Yes71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes22c52.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7722332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x497f…da80backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7e…d934backed Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc348…2a83backed Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No64c46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.519846.9%46 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x498e…45e7backed Yes39c45.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+88.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed No60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe805…3753backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No62c36.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.396050%30 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.910552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.915454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.555532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes41c26.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a6a…2632backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8460…af5dbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Yes41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed No73c24.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.