TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes53c19,333$10,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,131.6916541.2%68 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No50c19,293$9,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,646.5673538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c13,470$7,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.482,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c5,027$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.665,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No49c4,771$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No64c4,755$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.5492235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No37c4,537$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.4482542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c3,527$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.391,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9911631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No48c2,519$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes77c2,056$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8316858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No46c2,052$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.826645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c1,939$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.61,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c1,612$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.291,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes54c907.41$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.412548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c845.38$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.91,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c811.59$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.071,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c765.16$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.061,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c728.96$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.311,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No70c666.67$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.676243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No69c649.27$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4488743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed No51c642.33$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.422759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes52c592.1$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.749545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.246765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No46c546.92$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6487645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed No5c537.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28560%3 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick8cpaid+943.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No39c506.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9113861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes20c499.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8421474.3%159 W · 55 L+44.8wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes20c499.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8415671.8%112 W · 44 L+33.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No44c460.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6224247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed No30c428$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes37c384.25$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.42040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c364.11$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3539549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No45c361.77$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.99743.3%42 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8a…718dbacked Yes46c348.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No41c348.73$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6827251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes52c342.82$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.193855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No77c332$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes35c324.22$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8626136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes50c297$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9813644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes26c283$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.593831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Yes51c277.57$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes20c275.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3220769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.511369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes54c270.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.224654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed No47c265.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.771464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes39c256.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+82%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No64c250.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9526148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Yes51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No47c238.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c6…1c5bbacked Yes50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5da…625abacked Yes48c219.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No47c215.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.076358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4eb6backed No29c210$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked No50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes51c206$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes52c205.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes51c205.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x334a…d8b4backed No7c201.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes51c200.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.872882.1%23 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5826147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9921052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082878.6%22 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.28per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Yes35c193.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No49c189.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.138440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No29c185$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-92.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe49f…587ebacked No50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.254348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes41c170.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4619451.5%100 W · 94 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes50c170.1$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3938749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed No30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512458.3%14 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No49c169.13$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.464376.7%33 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No52c167.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.456248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No30c166.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No74c166.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6343452.1%226 W · 208 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c156.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.781,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes51c148.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes70c142.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8112362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes51c139.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes72c138.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.592572%18 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…7413backed Yes53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes51c128.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes54c124.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8222548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes51c123.8$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.662825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes54c123$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.