Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e29dc86a536a4834c061fc29a1aabe1dc586698751905f3866d31434307ba3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 6,631$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.18 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,756$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.78 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 2,412$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.33 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 784.88$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 65c | 769.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…4612backed Yes | 23c | 654.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 613.52$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 574.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 65c | 506.78$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.41 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 26c | 488.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 411.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 27c | 352.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…533fbacked No | 78c | 330.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 36c | 282.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 262.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed Yes | 28c | 253.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 21c | 201.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 79c | 190.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…09c7backed Yes | 31c | 145.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…2e5cbacked Yes | 76c | 131.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 77c | 125.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed No | 74c | 125.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 65c | 115.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…c39bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 73c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 64c | 97.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 35c | 95.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 78.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 65c | 68.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Yes | 21c | 67.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 56c | 66.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 25c | 66.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 32c | 63.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 36c | 62.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 34c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 47.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 42.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 34c | 41.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 58c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 62c | 21.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 78c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 70c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.