Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256a726b9290dbea27532fb6016589ec9acd736928d1b33648717e99b3cd569a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked No | 61c | 3,462$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 39c | 1,911$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.15 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 61c | 1,377$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 998.51$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.81 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 62c | 965.31$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 37c | 742.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.91 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 577.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 524.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Yes | 41c | 512.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 48c | 394.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 62c | 388.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 52c | 321.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 215.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 41c | 168.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Yes | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 38c | 114.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…6f48backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed No | 63c | 90.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 40c | 88.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 87.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 47c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked No | 61c | 69.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 51c | 55.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 41.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 63c | 31.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked No | 62c | 30.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed No | 53c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 75c | 17.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.