TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over37c109,907$40,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,895.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under62c57,330$35,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,535.5615947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c27,414$17,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,952.513,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under63c22,827$14,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,476.2835158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over38c17,303$6,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5752166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c11,611$7,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,302.922,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under62c3,719$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under62c3,261$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over40c3,085$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.964330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1105545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1107143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over38c2,884$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over40c999.87$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.941428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over27c858.93$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.266033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over41c849$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5919546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under63c833$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.219858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2969148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.254548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under63c669.73$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.478660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under63c462.53$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1433847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under63c450$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under63c450$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under63c450$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.58444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1489444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under77c399.65$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over23c374.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under63c360$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.28046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under63c350$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+62.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11110554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under63c285.54$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.669056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under63c280$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.68554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under63c278.73$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.132152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over35c257.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.295343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.513650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under61c246.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.334852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over42c239.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6613920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c5…a9edbacked Over17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under63c190$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.36446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under63c180$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.68056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.97544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.97248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.96350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.96448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.97244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.97647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.98551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over17c167.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.27544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.510953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.57540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Over37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under65c143.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.642060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over37c143$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506929%20 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.47847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.47754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over37c102$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.747636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Over33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.474141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c92.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over35c91.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1421925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Under55c90.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under65c87.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.35026%13 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Over45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over37c80.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Over38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over42c70.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.99450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Under78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.