TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$408,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$427,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes76c53,475$40,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,841.6124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes76c52,429$39,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,569.924841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No24c47,124$11,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,309.674940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No24c41,026$9,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,846.243351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c29,862$6,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,008.821,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No25c27,647$6,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,846.755040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No25c21,083$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.184551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No24c20,871$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.9852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes76c17,800$13,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes75c15,843$11,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.8221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No24c14,153$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.7487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…4449backed No25c11,570$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…d7eabacked No25c10,413$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No24c7,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c7,147$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.3748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c6,576$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.881,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No3c4,567$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.012317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No25c4,536$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.153450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c4,092$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes75c4,040$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No12c3,809$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.61850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes76c3,600$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8693964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes76c3,333$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.924468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No4c3,262$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes75c2,680$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6704266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes76c2,540$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…5a77backed No13c2,530$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No23c2,284$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.87128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No24c2,274$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.7831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes76c2,200$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No24c1,908$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes75c1,816$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes76c1,671$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.6115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes76c1,592$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.929747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes71c1,572$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No10c1,500$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.054427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes75c1,335$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.52366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No25c1,321$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.02850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.791656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.794100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes75c1,302$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes76c1,272$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.654231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba89…0fefbacked Yes77c1,134$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes76c970$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No23c954.25$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.481520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No19c886.48$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40c…b1dbbacked Yes75c854.42$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No24c838.34$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No28c834.28$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.524052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Yes76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked Yes76c723.68$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Yes74c679.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.811872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes77c652.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.771060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes78c650$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No24c584.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.210838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes71c565.86$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes76c530$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.22161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes76c519.86$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes76c490.08$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.622060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No15c480.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5345233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes76c480.26$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.261050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Yes76c472.37$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes76c470$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes77c467.53$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No24c425.41$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes76c419.4$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7008…c666backed Yes76c386.12$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…bbdebacked Yes76c369.95$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed No25c369.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f0backed Yes76c337.92$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No7c318.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.832638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No8c311.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.934637%17 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8285…77c9backed No13c306$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe764…61bebacked Yes76c302.63$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No25c295.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.543745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes76c285.33$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes79c281$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.333847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes75c275$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.751361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1610964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No25c241$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes76c233.91$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.141485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2562…b264backed Yes76c232.33$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes75c230$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No24c230$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc531…47e5backed No24c216.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes71c211.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed No24c206$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.