Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dbffed7d8b11fb393fe390b5c3b47d93da79bb7e4a289ae7bce409adc9b914b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 6,102$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 5,050$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,700$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 4,595$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 9c | 4,328$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 1c | 3,998$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 0c | 3,444$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 9c | 2,605$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,513$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 9c | 1,510$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 9c | 1,250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 745$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 9c | 556.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…fb78backed Yes | 3c | 451.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 9c | 390$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 9c | 329.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 8c | 265.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 9c | 153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Yes | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…43ffbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.