Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e2531f3dd4bd8ebf37d7a7310b1433475d6aa5241dc52223de163133673392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 3c | 6,939$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 22c | 3,077$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 2,990$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.31 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 12c | 1,567$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 24c | 1,564$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 78c | 1,225$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 1,158$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 27c | 1,095$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 992.86$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 24c | 922.28$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 756.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 716.71$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 686.39$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Under | 77c | 650.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 369.21$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 23c | 293.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 14c | 257.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 232$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 26c | 195.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 23c | 142.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…b41fbacked Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 130.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…0a65backed Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 23c | 106.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 19c | 97.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 22c | 92.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 25c | 80.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed Over | 21c | 78.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…0f6abacked Over | 27c | 70.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…eb81backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 76c | 46.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 45.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 76c | 44.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…80b8backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…eecebacked Under | 74c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.