Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63b0331d1caae5fb7519ed6efb757066e0f5aace9128f6c5b1168b094b63389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,932$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Under | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 79c | 1,702$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Over | 79c | 1,039$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 18c | 807.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 700$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 501.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 75c | 430.74$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…4798backed Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Over | 80c | 248.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under | 20c | 245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 19c | 239.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 232$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 225.91$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…5ef0backed Under | 19c | 164.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 60c | 163.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 19c | 157.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 21c | 150.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 17c | 133.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 74c | 131.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 119$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 18c | 115.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed Under | 23c | 82.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…63d5backed Over | 75c | 77.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…504fbacked Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 61.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…3371backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 79c | 50.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Over | 70c | 24.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 80c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…9b28backed Over | 80c | 13.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…f1a6backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.