Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8e819ef0a8ca1cebc2b051e439f5a785a12eeefb879a3960cd8859b7091a98

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,128 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	79c	9,946$7,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,833.84	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	22c	5,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,900	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	78c	2,856$2,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,236.83	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over	11c	2,499$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.61	102	73.5%75 W · 27 L	+15.0wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	22c	2,273$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,772.72	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	76c	1,878$1,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.62	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	15c	1,743$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.02	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over	16c	1,441$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.49	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+10.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	71c	1,411$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6460…13cebacked Over	33c	1,262$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.52	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	58c	1,234$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.14	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over	25c	1,002$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.6	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	20c	1,000$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.68	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	79c	1,000$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over	15c	968.39$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.39	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	22c	968.19$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.19	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	16c	949.69$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.59	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	20c	737.69$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.45	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+28.8wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	15c	705.71$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.72	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	22c	701.4$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.09	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	23c	659.22$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.23	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over	18c	645.61$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.49	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+9.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over	19c	638.63$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.63	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	37c	520.36$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.86	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	27c	504.54$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.2	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	22c	498.62$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.09	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	80c	476.95$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.56	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	75c	473.91$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.15	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	22c	431.82$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.82	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over	17c	423.49$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.19	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	+25.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x06c9…424fbacked Over	48c	420.17$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.17	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	77c	381.82$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.54	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over	16c	377.61$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.57	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	32c	341.72$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.66	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Over	45c	334.08$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.08	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	16c	315.47$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.31	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	17c	302.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.01	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+26.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under	35c	270$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.33	201	33.8%68 W · 133 L	+14.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	9c	207.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	65c	199.99$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	22c	154.47$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.65	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	65c	150$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	61c	149.99$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.78	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	10c	143.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	17c	111.82$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.15	377	47.7%180 W · 197 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	78c	105.76$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	21c	102.43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.52	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under	77c	100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	29c	76.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4606…7f19backed Over	25c	72.23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.47	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	35c	69.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x840c…e655backed Over	20c	66.1$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.88	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	22c	53.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.11	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	19c	52.59$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.92	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under	76c	48.87$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.04	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	79c	35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.65	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	78c	30.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	73c	24.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	54c	23.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5this page
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Over won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5Under won
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Czechia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event