Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57e9d72e46e63349d0465fd663f94260a4ac3745cc7665da54d1f1a9765a264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 30,053$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 0c | 25,592$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 11,653$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 6,124$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.18 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 3,298$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 7c | 1,883$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 12c | 1,686$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 1,246$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 10c | 1,210$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 13c | 1,178$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 2c | 1,093$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 8c | 975.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 508.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 13c | 423.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 13c | 323.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 11c | 250.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…10c0backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Over | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 5c | 230.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 10c | 202.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 11c | 171$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 9c | 157.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 122.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.