Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9077873d0dd508c3370dd0f73e3d07a4ab79efa8c17cc84fb8f5a745032787e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Under | 7c | 8,888$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 14c | 5,398$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 8c | 4,100$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Under | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 79c | 2,691$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.75 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 76c | 2,562$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 72c | 2,142$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.76 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 24c | 2,061$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.64 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 18c | 1,956$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 79c | 1,511$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 9c | 1,504$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 14c | 1,479$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 22c | 1,465$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed Under | 26c | 1,148$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Under | 16c | 1,029$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…b719backed Over | 80c | 999.75$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 18c | 906.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Under | 27c | 878.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 7c | 830.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 25c | 790.35$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…9bb0backed Under | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 722$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 19c | 697.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 16c | 632.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…e8bfbacked Under | 15c | 578.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 74c | 500$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Under | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 20c | 488.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 6c | 398.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed Under | 7c | 333.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…ff33backed Over | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Under | 9c | 267.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 79c | 257.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 13c | 204.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Under | 26c | 193.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 26c | 192.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Under | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Under | 8c | 174$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…c2b7backed Under | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 155.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 154$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 18c | 114.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 16c | 104.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Under | 28c | 51.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…afc9backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 109 | 76.1%83 W · 26 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…2ed7backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…ab62backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.