Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14dc4737c5adeb3537d76b7223b7aa63726ea5ddbf0e9b0bdfb7a41b7563475f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,335$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 1,813$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 31c | 654.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 71c | 568.82$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 31c | 437.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 31c | 436.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 30c | 406.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 32c | 357.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…255dbacked Over | 29c | 289$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 31c | 281.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 174.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 68c | 165.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…efdebacked Over | 24c | 161.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 44c | 83.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Under | 65c | 74.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…a57bbacked Under | 67c | 40.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 40.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 35c | 34.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 66c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.