TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Mexicoof Czechia, Mexico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Czechia8c4,200$326 inLost-$325.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Czechia7c2,900$203 inLost-$20318626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Czechia6c2,500$150 inLost-$15035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Czechia3c2,021$69 inLost-$68.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Czechia9c1,702$150 inLost-$150.081,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Czechia10c1,415$142 inLost-$141.5143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Czechia3c1,202$40 inLost-$39.62,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Czechia9c1,111$100 inLost-$10019817.2%34 W · 164 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Czechia6c999.99$60 inLost-$6017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7e…4f62backed Czechia6c996$62 inLost-$62.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Czechia10c700$70 inLost-$709622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Czechia4c691.09$28 inLost-$27.642,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Czechia6c600.55$36 inLost-$36.362,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Czechia9c555.56$50 inLost-$5014245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Czechia7c485.71$34 inLost-$3410534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Czechia7c414.32$27 inLost-$27.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Czechia6c410.5$25 inLost-$24.6332422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Czechia8c337.7$26 inLost-$25.762,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Czechia7c330.85$25 inLost-$24.811,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe114…cd4fbacked Czechia7c285.71$20 inLost-$207428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Czechia4c258.85$10 inLost-$10.3510335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Czechia8c199.99$16 inLost-$161,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cb…afc9backed Czechia6c199.98$12 inLost-$123225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Czechia9c125$11 inLost-$11.2516030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Czechia10c117.69$12 inLost-$11.594615.2%7 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.