TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,460 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c2,573$2,027 inLost-$2,027.362,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over15c839$125 inWon+$714.0334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over18c799$144 inWon+$655.189168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over60c533.42$320 inWon+$213.3758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over24c453.34$110 inWon+$343.619356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over30c336.31$100 inWon+$235.8913158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under75c314.07$235 inLost-$235.382,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over19c263.16$50 inWon+$213.1628535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over32c219.09$70 inWon+$148.9812156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under73c184.49$134 inLost-$134.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c143.1$36 inWon+$107.11,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over32c125.56$40 inWon+$85.3811360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over60c112.85$68 inWon+$45.1437458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under78c101.34$79 inLost-$78.987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under63c97.45$62 inLost-$61.712,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c46.16$29 inWon+$16.721,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over66c30.18$20 inWon+$10.411,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c26.93$11 inWon+$16.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under67c22.33$15 inLost-$14.9645145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over71c16$11 inWon+$4.641,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed Under67c15.07$10 inLost-$10.053751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7af…fcbfbacked Under67c15$10 inLost-$101040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.