Golf · resolved market
The Polymarket Classic: Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3d084a3b9869bfd3b28c61dd7bd8b084d90a75d8b6d0a9f8152679561dd185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- John/Paigeof John/Paige, JR/Claire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca97…49f6backed JR/Claire | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked JR/Claire | 23c | 937.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked JR/Claire | 12c | 904.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed JR/Claire | 52c | 615.31$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed John/Paige | 78c | 339.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed JR/Claire | 22c | 299.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed JR/Claire | 38c | 183.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…5b34backed JR/Claire | 19c | 151.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed JR/Claire | 23c | 143.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…8472backed JR/Claire | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed JR/Claire | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…06b7backed JR/Claire | 18c | 100.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed John/Paige | 45c | 91.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed JR/Claire | 36c | 88.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JR/Claire | 45c | 75.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked JR/Claire | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…67aabacked JR/Claire | 31c | 64.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked John/Paige | 79c | 57.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked JR/Claire | 33c | 53.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed John/Paige | 77c | 52.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…3c89backed John/Paige | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed JR/Claire | 38c | 45.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked John/Paige | 39c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed JR/Claire | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed JR/Claire | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed John/Paige | 76c | 37.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed JR/Claire | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…c4ddbacked John/Paige | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked John/Paige | 59c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked JR/Claire | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked JR/Claire | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4721backed John/Paige | 80c | 23.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked John/Paige | 49c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed John/Paige | 77c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked JR/Claire | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked JR/Claire | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…be36backed JR/Claire | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cb…ee05backed John/Paige | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…3e53backed John/Paige | 79c | 17.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8060…8873backed John/Paige | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.