TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92cb…ee05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$14.52
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$56.33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$7.68
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$12.91
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick74cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.78
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$9.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Classic: Winnerbacked John/Paige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.