La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c89973e0b397d203f8ebbf9ac65b2a95d17cfa1ffd459137d6450b2770a59eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 2,222$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 66c | 1,243$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 66c | 1,018$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 963.38$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 778.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 747.84$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 726.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.65 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 68c | 543.35$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 526.23$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 469.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 57c | 296.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 294.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 233.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 230.74$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…9f9fbacked Yes | 72c | 215.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 58c | 180.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 11c | 176.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…570abacked Yes | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 76c | 128.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 32c | 118.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 67c | 117.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 69c | 116.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 41c | 108.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 44c | 101.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 97.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 96.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 94.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 70c | 83.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 68.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 57c | 67.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 66.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 67c | 66.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3aa6backed Yes | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 55.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 57c | 53.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 40c | 46.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 42c | 41.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 40.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…39babacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 36.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…2c59backed Yes | 79c | 32.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 78c | 29.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…fdfbbacked Yes | 44c | 28.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…d377backed Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked Yes | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 67c | 21.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 78c | 19.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 74c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 65c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Yes | 74c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.