La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309df9f6bfc2fa9e28e3dd0b16a5f9df79e43017b0c79faa6558326a55b2200d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 6c | 13,201$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.62 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 8,019$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 9c | 3,083$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.33 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 26c | 1,692$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.89 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 5c | 701.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 4c | 237.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 8c | 201.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 179.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 110.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 75c | 76.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +86%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 28c | 68.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 67.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 17c | 64.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 56c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 67c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 76c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.