Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1d85c0653835874de6ae3e0cd7911ea44b6062031b0280882f1f94a820f498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,725$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,851$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.69 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 38c | 1,408$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 35c | 1,127$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 30c | 822.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 560$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 446.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 360.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 14c | 265.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 166.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 66c | 157$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 153.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 141.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 109.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 104.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 69c | 104$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 100.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 84.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 84.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 76.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 15c | 74.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 28c | 71.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 67.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 28c | 52.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 51.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 27c | 49.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 45.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 67c | 40.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 69c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 79c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 70c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.