Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3481b3be832eae49ff416e4730a50ec37ee10928a54e55e58a4f73d080267cd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 41c | 1,755$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 590.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 538.04$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 39c | 459.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 336.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 31c | 329.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 31c | 324.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 39c | 308.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 287.7$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 65c | 215$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 59c | 194.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 41c | 191.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 69c | 174.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 38c | 172.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked No | 60c | 167.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 151.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed No | 61c | 104.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 43c | 85.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 42c | 83.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 78.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 73.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 54.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 53.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 57c | 49.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 61c | 47.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 31c | 46.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 44c | 44.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 34.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 75c | 33.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 61c | 29.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 57c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.