Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa86687cc94ddd23f585f0c182515c5f8d36ad40a4991b55a149f4b68c4e7d447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 12,474$5,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.24 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes | 70c | 11,165$7,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 5,116$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.68 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,342$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 3,883$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.72 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 32c | 3,333$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.69 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 2,010$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.48 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 29c | 1,359$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 66c | 908.64$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 50c | 807.64$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Yes | 80c | 750.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 642.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 618.87$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 64c | 561.69$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 29c | 500.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 461.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 44c | 451.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 31c | 325.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 40c | 321.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 15c | 303.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…0ab4backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 229.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 51c | 224.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 189.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 35c | 185.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…0312backed Yes | 64c | 173.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 39c | 165.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 31c | 162.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 31c | 161.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 161.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 151.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes | 69c | 145.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 44c | 131.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 29c | 124.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 117.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…a67cbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 102.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Yes | 63c | 90.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 48c | 88.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 31c | 86.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 30c | 84.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…5d22backed Yes | 31c | 69.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 72c | 69.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 44c | 69.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 29c | 67.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 58c | 61.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 63c | 61.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 60.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 67c | 52.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 28c | 52.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 31c | 50.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 49c | 49.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 66c | 49.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 45c | 48.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…f411backed Yes | 30c | 46.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed No | 47c | 43.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…3e12backed No | 60c | 42.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed No | 39c | 41.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 40.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 39c | 36.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36e…36dfbacked Yes | 30c | 36.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 46c | 35.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 46c | 34.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 67c | 33.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked No | 35c | 33.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 69c | 28.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 71c | 26.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 72c | 26.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yes | 68c | 26.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 70c | 25.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed No | 56c | 25.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Yes | 66c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 69c | 22.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.