Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c13958abb8e0bff9bf3377820b142a1d40144a0ac3e1ff6dc5ab280e35d2c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8371…5f47backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 30c | 364$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 360.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…d88cbacked Yes | 37c | 339.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 16c | 172.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 108.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 18c | 105.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 13c | 100.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 15c | 92.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 51c | 89.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…3699backed Yes | 41c | 81.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…8883backed No | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 60c | 49.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 47.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…2266backed Yes | 42c | 46.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 25c | 45.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked Yes | 52c | 42.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 45c | 42.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…c70bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 78c | 39.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 52c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…a1a7backed No | 62c | 22.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…a99abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…9feabacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…3e88backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…13b6backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…9e24backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?this page
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?No won
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be less than or equal to 1.7%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.