Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b28f927019f973e22e03c6077ad56f5e6ea97116cef7636ecc4f897d82962a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coleman Wongof Spencer Johnson, Coleman Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spencer Johnson | 47c | 1,182$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spencer Johnson | 20c | 896.28$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spencer Johnson | 3c | 864.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spencer Johnson | 5c | 522.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Spencer Johnson | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Coleman Wong | 56c | 360.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Coleman Wong | 50c | 309.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Coleman Wong | 76c | 303.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Coleman Wong | 52c | 285.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Coleman Wong | 54c | 276.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Spencer Johnson | 16c | 275.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Coleman Wong | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Spencer Johnson | 15c | 228.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Coleman Wong | 54c | 148.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Coleman Wong | 52c | 132$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Spencer Johnson | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Spencer Johnson | 46c | 115.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Coleman Wong | 53c | 111.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Spencer Johnson | 14c | 106.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Spencer Johnson | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Spencer Johnson | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Coleman Wong | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Coleman Wong | 48c | 84.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Spencer Johnson | 49c | 78.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Coleman Wong | 55c | 71.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Spencer Johnson | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Coleman Wong | 56c | 59.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Spencer Johnson | 50c | 56.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spencer Johnson | 28c | 52.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Spencer Johnson | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Spencer Johnson | 36c | 46.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Spencer Johnson | 47c | 42.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Coleman Wong | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Coleman Wong | 55c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Coleman Wong | 52c | 31.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Spencer Johnson | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 372 | 53.8%200 W · 172 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Coleman Wong | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Spencer Johnson | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Spencer Johnson | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…524bbacked Coleman Wong | 57c | 24.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Coleman Wong | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Spencer Johnson | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.