TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winnipeg: Yuta Shimizu vs Liam Broady

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yuta Shimizuof Yuta Shimizu, Liam Broady
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeaf3…e802backed Liam Broady12c20,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.9947328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yuta Shimizu75c10,932$8,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.938,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Liam Broady51c6,684$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.1217543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Yuta Shimizu54c6,656$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.92,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuta Shimizu71c6,316$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.978,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Liam Broady39c6,280$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.591,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Liam Broady40c5,000$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98510358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yuta Shimizu64c1,258$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.714,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Yuta Shimizu66c1,226$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.82,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yuta Shimizu55c904.97$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.064,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yuta Shimizu28c877.68$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.932,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Liam Broady21c664.79$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.565058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Liam Broady48c601.01$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29045935.5%163 W · 296 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yuta Shimizu57c351.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4929953.5%160 W · 139 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yuta Shimizu66c327.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.559,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yuta Shimizu58c324.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.273,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Yuta Shimizu71c319.76$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7328454.2%154 W · 130 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yuta Shimizu28c261.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.013,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Liam Broady72c259$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.481,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Liam Broady14c235.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.022,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Yuta Shimizu65c208.72$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.72,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Liam Broady18c203.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.726,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yuta Shimizu73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yuta Shimizu72c174.4$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.75,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Liam Broady16c165.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.244,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Yuta Shimizu74c160.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1569947.8%334 W · 365 L-3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Yuta Shimizu63c159.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2410955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Yuta Shimizu76c131.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4717972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuta Shimizu66c130.41$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.856,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Yuta Shimizu29c129.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.346,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Yuta Shimizu78c127$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Liam Broady18c119.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111218.8%21 W · 91 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Liam Broady42c119.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030048.3%145 W · 155 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yuta Shimizu70c113$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liam Broady51c102.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.94,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yuta Shimizu69c100.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Liam Broady10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Liam Broady65c95.02$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.031,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Yuta Shimizu28c88.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.039040%36 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Liam Broady50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8261940.7%252 W · 367 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yuta Shimizu29c75.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6284349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Liam Broady45c73.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yuta Shimizu28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Liam Broady72c69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6813770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Liam Broady43c67.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982,33246.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Yuta Shimizu63c64.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11,23265.4%806 W · 426 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liam Broady46c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.494,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yuta Shimizu28c56.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce9…6cfdbacked Liam Broady56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Liam Broady72c54.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.842,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yuta Shimizu71c53.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6332031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Liam Broady72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7591845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4daa…9f01backed Liam Broady71c49.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97463.5%47 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Yuta Shimizu76c47.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5187450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yuta Shimizu61c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Liam Broady39c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9197852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Broady72c41.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Yuta Shimizu63c41.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2850341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Yuta Shimizu54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0335060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liam Broady46c40.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.696,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Liam Broady45c40.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1865246.3%302 W · 350 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yuta Shimizu55c40.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Liam Broady72c38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Liam Broady40c37.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Yuta Shimizu60c32.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9116642.8%71 W · 95 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Yuta Shimizu71c31.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1746251.7%239 W · 223 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Yuta Shimizu66c30.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3518343.7%80 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Liam Broady71c30.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.391,96546.4%911 W · 1,054 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Liam Broady50c30.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Liam Broady39c29.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.487661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x166f…632abacked Liam Broady44c28.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7411437.7%43 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Yuta Shimizu61c28.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1212767.7%86 W · 41 L+15.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Liam Broady72c27.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080856.9%460 W · 348 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yuta Shimizu56c26.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8750268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Liam Broady72c26.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731,01657.7%586 W · 430 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Liam Broady48c25.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2657645.7%263 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yuta Shimizu60c24.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.862,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Yuta Shimizu78c24.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5116964.5%109 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Yuta Shimizu78c21.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6935461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedc…d4c0backed Liam Broady71c15.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4314170.9%100 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc512…7fdfbacked Liam Broady71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.627864.1%50 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.