TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FriendlyCampersof Inner Circle Esports, FriendlyCampers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,576 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda34…01a8backed FriendlyCampers44c7,493$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.411533%38 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Inner Circle Esports1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed Inner Circle Esports58c1,733$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.972254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports57c1,653$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed FriendlyCampers43c1,537$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.5887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Inner Circle Esports63c1,358$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.753756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Inner Circle Esports56c1,303$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72454938.4%211 W · 338 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FriendlyCampers47c1,131$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.575,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Inner Circle Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Inner Circle Esports56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Inner Circle Esports1c900$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13300%0 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5f…0689backed Inner Circle Esports54c806.02$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.639142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Inner Circle Esports64c632$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8838037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FriendlyCampers25c611.74$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.951,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Inner Circle Esports49c609.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FriendlyCampers25c514.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.412,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FriendlyCampers42c480$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.45,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Inner Circle Esports66c456.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd4…b297backed FriendlyCampers40c443.56$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports75c429.94$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.656,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…f22abacked Inner Circle Esports60c416.49$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle Esports58c394.62$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.264,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed FriendlyCampers30c356.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.853531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Inner Circle Esports73c356.15$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf013…8f55backed FriendlyCampers43c348.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e0…8c14backed Inner Circle Esports65c326.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725b…c913backed FriendlyCampers32c316.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.021625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Inner Circle Esports63c297.72$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18921460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Inner Circle Esports53c277.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Inner Circle Esports55c274.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.148242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Inner Circle Esports55c268.42$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3354348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed FriendlyCampers65c263.84$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Inner Circle Esports79c250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.578348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Inner Circle Esports56c242.3$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6950340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Inner Circle Esports55c238.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1610445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Inner Circle Esports58c228.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13344944.8%201 W · 248 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed FriendlyCampers21c199.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6328434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FriendlyCampers33c198.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.541,54633.8%523 W · 1,023 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Inner Circle Esports53c194.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6125337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FriendlyCampers19c179$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.912,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked FriendlyCampers37c177.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.651,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…e696backed FriendlyCampers44c176$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ab…6c11backed FriendlyCampers44c174$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…5adcbacked FriendlyCampers44c173$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FriendlyCampers17c170.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.941,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e35…0d7fbacked FriendlyCampers44c169$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed FriendlyCampers42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.674942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Inner Circle Esports66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.358149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed FriendlyCampers44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed FriendlyCampers30c148$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4329244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f09…20e3backed FriendlyCampers44c146$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Inner Circle Esports43c145.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1716829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked FriendlyCampers40c144.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5116135.4%57 W · 104 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked Inner Circle Esports54c141.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.463534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc799…9f97backed FriendlyCampers44c141$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7b…cc6abacked FriendlyCampers44c135$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed FriendlyCampers37c134.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+126.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Inner Circle Esports19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FriendlyCampers36c129.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.622,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FriendlyCampers42c129.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.931,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed FriendlyCampers23c126.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.324714.9%7 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff3…ec1cbacked FriendlyCampers45c126$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+136.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b6…bfa2backed FriendlyCampers44c126$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…486dbacked FriendlyCampers44c126$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed FriendlyCampers21c124$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5546344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Inner Circle Esports53c123.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.663237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Inner Circle Esports61c121.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3114863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed FriendlyCampers40c113.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.929840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…5491backed Inner Circle Esports56c108.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed FriendlyCampers18c108.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9233148.3%160 W · 171 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ed…1506backed Inner Circle Esports68c105.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked FriendlyCampers11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed FriendlyCampers34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed FriendlyCampers21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7952750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Inner Circle Esports78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7835748.2%172 W · 185 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked FriendlyCampers44c97.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2933539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FriendlyCampers47c97.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Inner Circle Esports62c88.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9217659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Inner Circle Esports57c86.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e9…520dbacked Inner Circle Esports56c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea34…296ebacked Inner Circle Esports56c79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FriendlyCampers24c73.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.325,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa477…e2ecbacked Inner Circle Esports56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle Esports44c70.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Inner Circle Esports63c68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Inner Circle Esports16c67.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.954425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports40c65.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.453,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3057…45e5backed Inner Circle Esports56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdc…d24bbacked Inner Circle Esports56c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Inner Circle Esports62c62.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5726257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…f6dfbacked Inner Circle Esports54c61.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.051428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FriendlyCampers32c60.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.962,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked FriendlyCampers17c59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7154346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…fbfcbacked Inner Circle Esports56c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc51…e74abacked Inner Circle Esports56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5a…4fdabacked Inner Circle Esports56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a2…26fbbacked Inner Circle Esports56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa59e…1d73backed Inner Circle Esports56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed FriendlyCampers35c51.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7328046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed FriendlyCampers47c51.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.972240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.